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단행본Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics 52

Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data: Theory and Practice: Theory and Practice

발행사항
2020; Switzerland: Springer
형태사항
719 p: ill, 24 cm
서지주기
Includes references
소장정보
위치등록번호청구기호 / 출력상태반납예정일
이용 가능 (1)
한국청소년정책연구원00029814대출가능-
이용 가능 (1)
  • 등록번호
    00029814
    상태/반납예정일
    대출가능
    -
    위치/청구기호(출력)
    한국청소년정책연구원
책 소개
This book surveys big data tools used in macroeconomic forecasting and addresses related econometric issues, including how to capture dynamic relationships among variables; how to select parsimonious models; how to deal with model uncertainty, instability, non-stationarity, and mixed frequency data; and how to evaluate forecasts, among others. Each chapter is self-contained with references, and provides solid background information, while also reviewing the latest advances in the field. Accordingly, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers, professional forecasters, and students of quantitative economics.
목차

Introduction: Sources and Types of Big Data for Macroeconomic Forecasting.- Capturing Dynamic Relationships: Dynamic Factor Models.- Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressions, Panel VARs, and Global VARs.- Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions.- Volatility Forecasting in a Data Rich Environment.- Neural Networks.- Seeking Parsimony: Penalized Time Series Regression.- Principal Component and Static Factor Analysis.- Subspace Methods.- Variable Selection and Feature Screening.- Dealing with Model Uncertainty: Frequentist Averaging.- Bayesian Model Averaging.- Bootstrap Aggregating and Random Forest.- Boosting.- Density Forecasting.- Forecast Evaluation.- Further Issues: Unit Roots and Cointegration.- Turning Points and Classification.- Robust Methods for High-dimensional Regression and Covariance Matrix Estimation.- Frequency Domain.- Hierarchical Forecasting.